Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.681053 1.922811 2.188411 2.502077 2.862689 3.264652 3.747204
2025-08-17 1.259817 1.557308 1.911133 2.363811 2.928849 3.612539 4.505148
2025-08-24 1.021777 1.348733 1.764661 2.334394 3.097498 4.088520 5.480110
2025-08-31 0.843805 1.178822 1.630576 2.287300 3.222901 4.515876 6.452208
2025-09-07 0.754223 1.108570 1.612029 2.384225 3.547510 5.248581 7.950401
2025-09-14 0.668798 1.028506 1.563990 2.425736 3.790803 5.891414 9.410699
2025-09-21 0.586161 0.938813 1.486297 2.406440 3.931903 6.390788 10.716036
2025-09-28 0.504459 0.838124 1.376153 2.316696 3.941879 6.674706 11.701185
2025-10-05 0.473950 0.815853 1.387788 2.426577 4.295402 7.570570 13.864096
2025-10-12 0.447849 0.796965 1.401445 2.539586 4.666611 8.543046 16.308200
2025-10-19 0.416179 0.763796 1.385270 2.595332 4.938666 9.368778 18.596731
2025-10-26 0.385954 0.729179 1.361603 2.632648 5.178431 10.161746 20.935740
2025-11-02 0.342951 0.666689 1.281202 2.555520 5.194399 10.541416 22.537999
2025-11-09 0.299458 0.597976 1.180702 2.425346 5.085399 10.654742 23.598318
2025-11-16 0.272778 0.559470 1.134964 2.401054 5.193918 11.236963 25.789282
2025-11-23 0.247215 0.520104 1.082652 2.355674 5.250083 11.713501 27.818642
2025-11-30 0.237695 0.513295 1.097158 2.457354 5.647995 13.009049 32.011692
2025-12-07 0.224040 0.495825 1.086599 2.501139 5.918639 14.050504 35.761233
2025-12-14 0.206846 0.468409 1.050827 2.481725 6.036101 14.743724 38.743047
2025-12-21 0.186265 0.430872 0.987838 2.389326 5.961811 14.954884 40.489194
2025-12-28 0.181452 0.429533 1.008272 2.502936 6.421792 16.583895 46.392417
2026-01-04 0.176940 0.428357 1.028891 2.619726 6.907217 18.353182 53.018895
2026-01-11 0.169157 0.418255 1.026634 2.677346 7.243634 19.774366 58.896414